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[quote]KEY POINTS • GP consultation rates in England for individuals presenting with flu-like illness show increased rates, above the threshold level for normal seasonal flu activity and higher than the peak activity in winter 08/09. • The under-5s and 5-14 year olds are the age groups predominantly affected. • The majority of cases continue to be mild with 29 deaths in England to date. • HPA estimates that there were 55,000 new cases of swine flu last week (range 30,000 – 85,000). This estimate is based on latest weekly consultation rates for flu-like illness, taking into consideration positivity rates for swine flu H1N1 from HPA’s virological sampling and a range of assumptions related to the numbers of people attending their GP. INTERNATIONAL SUMMARY Total of Confirmed Cases reported by European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) (Update 17:00 CEST 14 July 2009) Grand total of cases confirmed 119,344 Total of deaths reported 589 Table 1: Countries with more than 1000 laboratory-confirmed cases reported, as at 14 July (in addition to UK). Country Cumulative total number of cases reported Cumulative total number of deaths reported Argentina 2,928 94 Australia 9,050 19 Brazil 1,027 2 Canada 9,717 39 Chile 9,549 25 China (mainland) 1,362 0 China (Hong Kong) 1,327 0 Japan 2,919 0 Mexico 11,699 121 New Zealand 1,779 7 Peru 1,912 5 Philippines 2,668 3 Singapore 1,217 0 Spain 1,034 2 Thailand 2,428 9 USA 37,246 211 Following the move from laboratory testing for confirmation of swine flu (H1N1v) to clinical diagnosis of cases, the level of flu in the community is being monitored using a range of surveillance mechanisms. These enable HPA to accurately estimate flu levels, monitor new and emerging viruses and identify trends in activity. Our experience over many flu seasons means we can confidently continue to monitor the incidence and distribution of this pandemic virus over the summer and beyond. A more detailed UK weekly epidemiology update can be accessed at: accessed at: http://www.hpa.org.uk/webw/HPAweb&Page&HPAwebAutoListName/Page/1242949541993?p=1242949541993 Edited by: hkhan on Friday, July 17, 2009 10:58 PM[/quote]
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